Sunday, October 11, 2026

San Francisco has compiled one poor defensive half, allowing 24 points to Arizona in a six-point Week 3 victory, while the Seahawks D has been outstanding all season. This should be a grind-it-out performance between these division rivals, with the winner not scoring more than 24 points.

It's been ugly for the Pack this year. I could only go with Chicago here, but you’re paying a premium for the Bears in this spot with a backup QB.

The Commanders get a nice boost with the return of Jayden Daniels, and that should make the difference in this matchup with the Giants. New York won their last two with Jameis Winston under center, but that was against the Titans and Cardinals. Daniels will be a lot tougher for the Giants to handle, and the Commanders should win at home as a result.

Game Totals Pick

Game Totals Pick

Game Totals Pick

Chicago squandered a 2-0 series lead -- surrendering 18 runs across the last two meetings -- and suddenly Cleveland looks inevitable. But the White Sox opened October with four straight road wins, including the first two of this series in Cleveland. With both pitching staffs facing a chaotic Game 5, I'll take Chicago at plus money in a game that will likely be very volatile and dramatic

The Ravens have an intrinsic edge in Derrick Henry and what he’s capable of, regardless of their opponent. We understand why markets have responded so positively to the Falcons after the last two weeks, but Baltimore has plenty of talent to keep this close or win. The value is on a deflated dog.

The revenge angle is definitely there for San Francisco, as a win gives the 49ers a two-game edge over Seattle in a crucial matchup for playoff seeding. It may not necessarily happen, but I expect the 49ers to push the Seahawks all the way and keep within a field goal.

Arizona is on a three-game losing streak and has already lost by double-digits twice - by 24 points to Seattle and by 12 to the Giants. Jeremiyah Love is questionable. I can't see the Cardinals keeping up with the Lions' high-powered offense.

Cleveland is 3-1 ATS this season as an underdog and 6-1 ATS in the 'dog role since last December. The Jets posted an 0-2 ATS mark as a home favorite last season and aren’t worthy of backing when laying points against a Cleveland team playing with plenty of confidence.

The big question is if Minnesota can take advantage of this struggling New Orleans defense. The Vikings are last in the NFL in offensive success rate, while QB Kyler Murray sits above only Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield in EPA per play. The Saints have covered seven straight games as an underdog dating back to last November.

Sometimes the biggest difference between two teams isn't their record, it's the direction they're heading. One team appears to be finding its footing while the other is still taking on water, making anything less than a Bengals touchdown victory feel increasingly unlikely

DeMeco Ryans will call plays for the Texans defense against a Tennessee offense that is 26th in EPA per play and 21st in success rate. On the other side of the ball, Stroud has been playing the best football of his career since his rookie season, and this will likely be the easiest matchup he's faced all year.

The Leafs have shown the ability to score goals, but they have a hard time limiting opponents high-danger chances and keeping pucks out of their net. As a team the Avalanche are leading the way in the NHL, averaging 5.75 goals per game.

The defending Stanley Cup champions have picked up where they left off, winning three of their first five games while allowing opponents just 12 shots on goal. Chicago isn’t an offensive threat, and while they are giving up over 4 goals per game, most of that damage has come on the road.