Friday, July 31, 2026

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Jeffrey Springs owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.45 ERA on the season, and he is dealing with a nagging hip injury. Casey Mize has been solid for Detroit, but the bullpen has not. Both offenses should be able to do some damage in this one.

In Tomoyuki Sugano's last four starts at Coors Field, he has not given up more than three earned runs. The Royals are a below average offensive team, and they will be without two of their most dangerous bats in Bobb Witt and Vinnie Pasquantino.

Arizona's team OPS drops from a steady .734 at home to .681 on the road, and Cleveland's Tanner Bibee has been a consistent arm for the Guardians. Arizona starting pitcher Mitch Bratt will make just his 5th MLB start, and he owns a less-than-ideal 6.32 ERA and 1.98 WHIP through his first 4.

Miller's record isn’t the best at 4-5, but he carries a 2.75 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, and his advanced metrics support his success for the most part. At home, he’s even better. In 5 starts at T-Mobile Park, he holds a 0.95 ERA, limiting opponents to just 3 earned runs in 28.1 innings with 34 strikeouts.

Starting pitching will slightly favor the hosts tonight, who have seemingly learned how to navigate Marquez’ game days. Not to mention, San Diego has the bullpen edge here 3.68 vs. 4.34.

Shane Drohan is my preferred starting option Friday given his matchup with the high strikeout rate Angel's lineup. Ryan Johnson doesn't match up well with the Brewers offense that is in good form of late against righties. I favor the Brewers at current pricing.

Nick Martinez has pitched well for the Rays all season and enters this matchup in terrific form. Erick Fedde is a bit shakier of a starter and draws the opposing lineup in better form. Tampa Bay is 40-16 at home this season and I expect them to find their 41st home win Friday evening.

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In June, Woo carried an ERA just shy of 6.00, and he’s right in that range this month through 3 July starts (5.63). In those 3 contests, he allowed 10 earned runs in 16 innings on 24 hits and 3 homers while striking out 17.

With 2 starters pitching well, a ballpark built for low scoring games and one of baseball's deepest bullpens backing San Diego, this matchup has all the ingredients for a tightly-contested pitchers duel. Expect both teams to struggle for sustained offense as the game stays below the posted total.

The Pirates are rolling with a bullpen game and are without their best bulk reliever due to poor usage in previous games. Rhett Lowder has struggled mightily this season, and now Pittsburgh gets a massive park shift in their favor. I expect runs from both sides in this spot.

Once the game reaches the middle innings, both clubs should continue to generate scoring opportunities. With uncertainty surrounding Irvin's return, a dangerous Braves offense and enough firepower on both sides to keep the pressure on throughout the night, this matchup has all the ingredients to finish comfortably above the total.

The Pirates are rolling with a bullpen game and are without their best bulk reliever due to poor usage in previous games. Rhett Lowder has struggled mightily this season, and now Pittsburgh gets a massive park shift in their favor. I expect runs from both sides in this spot.