Sunday, September 20, 2026

Best Bet Game Totals Pick

Point Spread Pick Underdog

Best Bet Point Spread Pick

While the Dodgers offense has been in incredible form as of late, it’s hard to back a side with roughly 90% of public tickets riding the over in this case.

Money Line

Shane Steichen specializes in offense and his group left much to be desired after a 23-point output (and just 251 yards) last Sunday. We doubt the Colts will depend on their defense to correct their woes

The Colts enter this battle in a desperate mood and they’re getting over a touchdown of points to boot. There is a world where the new-look Chiefs pull away, but we also can’t handicap this matchup based on a one-game sample size, either. Buy low on Indianapolis and sell high on Kansas City.

Both defenses are in good position to succeed and both offenses can be expected to lean into the running game, which should chew up plenty of clock and lead to an under.

On a normal week, I could see total domination from San Francisco. However, given the circumstances surrounding this game and the exorbitant price, I would have a very hard time betting someone else’s money on the Niners here, let alone mine.

Neither offense showed much in Week 1, and the number here already reflects that, sitting among the lower totals on the board. I still think it's got room to come down further.

Home-field advantage at Gillette Stadium matters here. New England is desperate to avoid an 0-2 start, and I expect a sharper, more disciplined performance from a talented roster that simply beat itself in Week 1. I like the Patriots to clean up the turnovers and cover at home.

Cleveland’s defense should put up a better effort against a Bucs team that scored 20 or fewer points in three of its final four home contests of 2025, while the Tampa defense did not allow a Bengals TD last week without a turnover setting it up. A low-scoring contest beckons here.

Cleveland posted a humiliating effort in Week 1, while Tampa Bay dug themselves too big of a hole to climb out of. In this spot, the public will be all over the Bucs to bounce back, but let’s go with the Browns here getting a shade over a touchdown on the road.

It did not happen last week, but you have to think that Tennessee QB Cam Ward will make some strides in his second year. This is the smallest total (39.5) of the entire week in the NFL.

Fortunately for the Panthers, the Falcons' offense won't resemble anything like what the Bears put on the field this past weekend. Atlanta's QB issues are probably too much to overcome.

The Bengals’ defense gave up just 60 yards to running backs against Tampa Bay. Last season, Cincinnati allowed a league-worst 119.2 yards to that position. Both these teams have strong over trends, but it’s hard to think that Houston’s defense gets lit up once again, and Cincinnati will likely not finish at +4 in the turnover department.

The Bengals beat the Bucs last week but 24 of their 33 points came off turnovers, and the Texans should bounce back here after coming up just short against the Bills. Houston’s defense allowed the fewest yards per game last season and they should have some success in pacifying Joe Burrow.

The market is underrating the suddenly competent Jets offense, while the Packers should generate explosives against a questionable New York secondary. Take the over.

Jordan Love is a whopping 0-8 against the spread when laying over a field goal on the road and the Jets are much improved following an infusion of talent into this roster over the offseason. Take the home underdog.

The Nationals are the third-highest scoring team in the MLB, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Nationals will send Jake Irvin to the mound, who has an inflated 5.51 ERA in 96.1 innings this season.

Pittsburgh ranks fifth in baseball at 4.8 runs per game, while both bullpens have recorded 25 blown saves. Michael Wacha has pitched well, but the Pirates possess enough offense to challenge him and get to Kansas City's relief corps afterward. With Pittsburgh's pitching situation bullpen vulnerable yet leading the way, back the over in another value spot.

Coming Soon

Neither offense showed much in Week 1, and the number here already reflects that, sitting among the lower totals on the board. I still think it's got room to come down further.

Cleveland’s defense should put up a better effort against a Bucs team that scored 20 or fewer points in three of its final four home contests of 2025, while the Tampa defense did not allow a Bengals TD last week without a turnover setting it up. A low-scoring contest beckons here.

It did not happen last week, but you have to think that Tennessee QB Cam Ward will make some strides in his second year. This is the smallest total (39.5) of the entire week in the NFL.

Tennessee opened with a terrible 23-10 home loss to the Jets in Week 1, suggesting that it is the worst team in the entire NFL -- or maybe the second-worst, ahead of Cleveland. Philadelphia (1-0) should roll.

Fortunately for the Panthers, the Falcons' offense won't resemble anything like what the Bears put on the field this past weekend. Atlanta's QB issues are probably too much to overcome.

The Bengals’ defense gave up just 60 yards to running backs against Tampa Bay. Last season, Cincinnati allowed a league-worst 119.2 yards to that position. Both these teams have strong over trends, but it’s hard to think that Houston’s defense gets lit up once again, and Cincinnati will likely not finish at +4 in the turnover department.

The Bengals beat the Bucs last week but 24 of their 33 points came off turnovers, and the Texans should bounce back here after coming up just short against the Bills. Houston’s defense allowed the fewest yards per game last season and they should have some success in pacifying Joe Burrow.

The market is underrating the suddenly competent Jets offense, while the Packers should generate explosives against a questionable New York secondary. Take the over.

Jordan Love is a whopping 0-8 against the spread when laying over a field goal on the road and the Jets are much improved following an infusion of talent into this roster over the offseason. Take the home underdog.

Pittsburgh ranks fifth in baseball at 4.8 runs per game, while both bullpens have recorded 25 blown saves. Michael Wacha has pitched well, but the Pirates possess enough offense to challenge him and get to Kansas City's relief corps afterward. With Pittsburgh's pitching situation bullpen vulnerable yet leading the way, back the over in another value spot.

Neither offense showed much in Week 1, and the number here already reflects that, sitting among the lower totals on the board. I still think it's got room to come down further.

Home-field advantage at Gillette Stadium matters here. New England is desperate to avoid an 0-2 start, and I expect a sharper, more disciplined performance from a talented roster that simply beat itself in Week 1. I like the Patriots to clean up the turnovers and cover at home.

Cleveland’s defense should put up a better effort against a Bucs team that scored 20 or fewer points in three of its final four home contests of 2025, while the Tampa defense did not allow a Bengals TD last week without a turnover setting it up. A low-scoring contest beckons here.

Cleveland posted a humiliating effort in Week 1, while Tampa Bay dug themselves too big of a hole to climb out of. In this spot, the public will be all over the Bucs to bounce back, but let’s go with the Browns here getting a shade over a touchdown on the road.

Both of these teams put on a show in Week 1, and I don't see much reason to expect any different in Week 2. Baltimore hung 41 points on Indianapolis behind a fully operational Jackson-Henry combination, while New Orleans and Detroit combined for 61 points in their overtime thriller. That's two offenses trending in the same direction heading into Sunday.

New Orleans, meanwhile, is coming off a gut-punch of a Week 1 loss, falling 31-30 in overtime to Detroit after digging itself out of a 21-point hole. That comeback is exactly why I'm not ready to write the Saints off against a number this big.

It did not happen last week, but you have to think that Tennessee QB Cam Ward will make some strides in his second year. This is the smallest total (39.5) of the entire week in the NFL.

Tennessee opened with a terrible 23-10 home loss to the Jets in Week 1, suggesting that it is the worst team in the entire NFL -- or maybe the second-worst, ahead of Cleveland. Philadelphia (1-0) should roll.

Four of the last seven head-to-head encounters have produced no more than 40 points. Largely due to Atlanta's offense issues, another relatively low-scoring affair could be in the cards.

Fortunately for the Panthers, the Falcons' offense won't resemble anything like what the Bears put on the field this past weekend. Atlanta's QB issues are probably too much to overcome.

The Bengals’ defense gave up just 60 yards to running backs against Tampa Bay. Last season, Cincinnati allowed a league-worst 119.2 yards to that position. Both these teams have strong over trends, but it’s hard to think that Houston’s defense gets lit up once again, and Cincinnati will likely not finish at +4 in the turnover department.

The market is underrating the suddenly competent Jets offense, while the Packers should generate explosives against a questionable New York secondary. Take the over.

Jordan Love is a whopping 0-8 against the spread when laying over a field goal on the road and the Jets are much improved following an infusion of talent into this roster over the offseason. Take the home underdog.

Pittsburgh ranks fifth in baseball at 4.8 runs per game, while both bullpens have recorded 25 blown saves. Michael Wacha has pitched well, but the Pirates possess enough offense to challenge him and get to Kansas City's relief corps afterward. With Pittsburgh's pitching situation bullpen vulnerable yet leading the way, back the over in another value spot.

The Cardinals are clearly better than what their market expectations were prior to the season. Seattle's offense is not equipped to pull away from most teams without Sam Darnold at quarterback, and this should be a close contest.

On a normal week, I could see total domination from San Francisco. However, given the circumstances surrounding this game and the exorbitant price, I would have a very hard time betting someone else’s money on the Niners here, let alone mine.

The Chargers are 5-0 in the previous five meetings with the Raiders at SoFi Stadium, while covering the spread each time. This is a good spot to back the Bolts after their surprising Week 1 loss, as they take on a Raiders team they have owned recently.

From 2021 through 2025, the Raiders and Chargers finished under the total at SoFi Stadium until last season’s over. This total is three points higher than last season’s matchup in Inglewood, so let’s take advantage and back the under.

Bo Nix threw five more TD passes at home last season (15) than on the road, while putting up 600 more passing yards at home. Jacksonville has been able to put up points since the second half of last season, while Denver’s offense should put up a better performance at home after getting shut down at Kansas City.

The Broncos lost once in eight regular-season home games last season, which came to Jacksonville. The Jags posted a solid 6-2 road mark in 2025, which included blowing a 29-10 lead in a loss at Houston. The expectation is Denver should bounce back, but Jacksonville is playing with plenty of confidence and looks a solid road underdog.

Neither offense showed much in Week 1, and the number here already reflects that, sitting among the lower totals on the board. I still think it's got room to come down further.

Home-field advantage at Gillette Stadium matters here. New England is desperate to avoid an 0-2 start, and I expect a sharper, more disciplined performance from a talented roster that simply beat itself in Week 1. I like the Patriots to clean up the turnovers and cover at home.

Cleveland’s defense should put up a better effort against a Bucs team that scored 20 or fewer points in three of its final four home contests of 2025, while the Tampa defense did not allow a Bengals TD last week without a turnover setting it up. A low-scoring contest beckons here.

Cleveland posted a humiliating effort in Week 1, while Tampa Bay dug themselves too big of a hole to climb out of. In this spot, the public will be all over the Bucs to bounce back, but let’s go with the Browns here getting a shade over a touchdown on the road.

Both of these teams put on a show in Week 1, and I don't see much reason to expect any different in Week 2. Baltimore hung 41 points on Indianapolis behind a fully operational Jackson-Henry combination, while New Orleans and Detroit combined for 61 points in their overtime thriller. That's two offenses trending in the same direction heading into Sunday.

New Orleans, meanwhile, is coming off a gut-punch of a Week 1 loss, falling 31-30 in overtime to Detroit after digging itself out of a 21-point hole. That comeback is exactly why I'm not ready to write the Saints off against a number this big.

It did not happen last week, but you have to think that Tennessee QB Cam Ward will make some strides in his second year. This is the smallest total (39.5) of the entire week in the NFL.

Tennessee opened with a terrible 23-10 home loss to the Jets in Week 1, suggesting that it is the worst team in the entire NFL -- or maybe the second-worst, ahead of Cleveland. Philadelphia (1-0) should roll.

The market is underrating the suddenly competent Jets offense, while the Packers should generate explosives against a questionable New York secondary. Take the over.

Home-field advantage at Gillette Stadium matters here. New England is desperate to avoid an 0-2 start, and I expect a sharper, more disciplined performance from a talented roster that simply beat itself in Week 1. I like the Patriots to clean up the turnovers and cover at home.

The Bengals beat the Bucs last week but 24 of their 33 points came off turnovers, and the Texans should bounce back here after coming up just short against the Bills. Houston’s defense allowed the fewest yards per game last season and they should have some success in pacifying Joe Burrow.

Jordan Love is a whopping 0-8 against the spread when laying over a field goal on the road and the Jets are much improved following an infusion of talent into this roster over the offseason. Take the home underdog.

Neither Walker Buehler nor Sandy Alcantara are in good form of late, both displaying issues of their own. Both the Marlins and Padres are crushing right-handed pitching in the last 30 days, and I favor the over in this matchup.

It did not happen last week, but you have to think that Tennessee QB Cam Ward will make some strides in his second year. This is the smallest total (39.5) of the entire week in the NFL.

Coming Soon

While the Dodgers offense has been in incredible form as of late, it’s hard to back a side with roughly 90% of public tickets riding the over in this case.

It could be a classic Week 2 overreaction, but it’s hard to sell what I just saw with the Bears on the road against the NFC South champions. They scored 59 points on the road against the Carolina Panthers, gaining 552 yards and converting 10-of-14 third downs in the process.

Read more The Brewers will be send the National League Cy Young favorite to the mound in Jacob Misiorowski. Opposite him, Brandon Young has a 3.65 ERA in 145.2 innings.

Read more Neither Walker Buehler nor Sandy Alcantara are in good form of late, both displaying issues of their own. Both the Marlins and Padres are crushing right-handed pitching in the last 30 days, and I favor the over in this matchup.

Read more The Angels are baseball's worst lineup against right-handed pitching across the last 30 days, while the Twins have a 106 wRC+ in that span. That difference alone leans me towards the Twins with Dean Kremer and Ryan Johnson scheduled as today's starters.

Read more Kade Anderson has not been pitching great recently, as he has given up 10 earned runs across his last 15.1 innings pitched. The Rockies average 4.7 runs per game compared to the Mariners, who are only scoring 4.1 runs per game.

Read more Jacob deGrom is in solid form across his last four starts, tossing 24 innings with just four earned runs allowed. Spencer Arrighetti is primed to be the bulk reliever following Spencer Miles as opener, and I am not fond of Arrighetti nor his recent form.

On a normal week, I could see total domination from San Francisco. However, given the circumstances surrounding this game and the exorbitant price, I would have a very hard time betting someone else’s money on the Niners here, let alone mine.

Both teams came up short in Week 1. Dallas struggled on both sides of the ball, while Washington came within a failed two-point conversion of tying its game. Dallas will likely get a boost and a fresh start playing at home, where they have historically performed better overall. I think they learn from their early mistakes and make full use of their home-field advantage come Sunday.

The Chargers are 5-0 in the previous five meetings with the Raiders at SoFi Stadium, while covering the spread each time. This is a good spot to back the Bolts after their surprising Week 1 loss, as they take on a Raiders team they have owned recently.

The Broncos lost once in eight regular-season home games last season, which came to Jacksonville. The Jags posted a solid 6-2 road mark in 2025, which included blowing a 29-10 lead in a loss at Houston. The expectation is Denver should bounce back, but Jacksonville is playing with plenty of confidence and looks a solid road underdog.

Home-field advantage at Gillette Stadium matters here. New England is desperate to avoid an 0-2 start, and I expect a sharper, more disciplined performance from a talented roster that simply beat itself in Week 1. I like the Patriots to clean up the turnovers and cover at home.

If Coach Johnson is serious about breaking the scoring record, explosive plays and tempo are going to be part of the mix. As such, it’s hard not to like the current price on the over.

It could be a classic Week 2 overreaction, but it’s hard to sell what I just saw with the Bears on the road against the NFC South champions. They scored 59 points on the road against the Carolina Panthers, gaining 552 yards and converting 10-of-14 third downs in the process.

Cleveland posted a humiliating effort in Week 1, while Tampa Bay dug themselves too big of a hole to climb out of. In this spot, the public will be all over the Bucs to bounce back, but let’s go with the Browns here getting a shade over a touchdown on the road.

New Orleans, meanwhile, is coming off a gut-punch of a Week 1 loss, falling 31-30 in overtime to Detroit after digging itself out of a 21-point hole. That comeback is exactly why I'm not ready to write the Saints off against a number this big.

Tennessee opened with a terrible 23-10 home loss to the Jets in Week 1, suggesting that it is the worst team in the entire NFL -- or maybe the second-worst, ahead of Cleveland. Philadelphia (1-0) should roll.

Fortunately for the Panthers, the Falcons' offense won't resemble anything like what the Bears put on the field this past weekend. Atlanta's QB issues are probably too much to overcome.

The Bengals beat the Bucs last week but 24 of their 33 points came off turnovers, and the Texans should bounce back here after coming up just short against the Bills. Houston’s defense allowed the fewest yards per game last season and they should have some success in pacifying Joe Burrow.

Jordan Love is a whopping 0-8 against the spread when laying over a field goal on the road and the Jets are much improved following an infusion of talent into this roster over the offseason. Take the home underdog.