Friday, September 18, 2026

Tennessee opened with a terrible 23-10 home loss to the Jets in Week 1, suggesting that it is the worst team in the entire NFL -- or maybe the second-worst, ahead of Cleveland. Philadelphia (1-0) should roll.

Whenever a total climbs and we see inflation like this, we look for reasons for why it might regress. In this case, the evidence supports another high-scoring affair. The Bills' offense looks as hot as ever, while the Lions will need to keep scoring to have any chance here. Expect fireworks on TNF.

This is a short week for both programs, but the Bills return home with renewed confidence in their new regime and an offense that looks as explosive as it ever has. The Lions’ defense will be in a very vulnerable spot on the road after barely surviving against the Saints. All Bills for me.

What makes me bullish on Williams in Week 2 is that he had 36% first-read target share (vs 18.6% in 2025). They are actively trying to get him the ball this season, and the Bills' defense gave up 160 air yards compared to the Saints' 109.

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Despite the mathematical possibility that Minnesota can still make the playoffs, this feels like a matchup between two offenses just going through the motions until the end of the season. Both offenses are barely hitting .200 over the last week, and both pitchers have been reliable despite their team's misfortunes this year.

Whenever a total climbs and we see inflation like this, we look for reasons for why it might regress. In this case, the evidence supports another high-scoring affair. The Bills' offense looks as hot as ever, while the Lions will need to keep scoring to have any chance here. Expect fireworks on TNF.

This is a short week for both programs, but the Bills return home with renewed confidence in their new regime and an offense that looks as explosive as it ever has. The Lions’ defense will be in a very vulnerable spot on the road after barely surviving against the Saints. All Bills for me.

What makes me bullish on Williams in Week 2 is that he had 36% first-read target share (vs 18.6% in 2025). They are actively trying to get him the ball this season, and the Bills' defense gave up 160 air yards compared to the Saints' 109.

Both teams came up short in Week 1. Dallas struggled on both sides of the ball, while Washington came within a failed two-point conversion of tying its game. Dallas will likely get a boost and a fresh start playing at home, where they have historically performed better overall. I think they learn from their early mistakes and make full use of their home-field advantage come Sunday.

Four of the last seven head-to-head encounters have produced no more than 40 points. Largely due to Atlanta's offense issues, another relatively low-scoring affair could be in the cards.

This is a short week for both programs, but the Bills return home with renewed confidence in their new regime and an offense that looks as explosive as it ever has. The Lions’ defense will be in a very vulnerable spot on the road after barely surviving against the Saints. All Bills for me.