Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Run Line Pick

Game Totals Pick

Brandon Pfaadt enters Wednesday in elite form, allowing 0 earned runs across his last 4 starts combined while working deep into outings. Payton Tolle is also on a roll and enters this matchup with some of the best underlying metrics in baseball. Ketel Marte remains absent and I favor the under in this game.

Game Totals Pick

Paul Skenes' 9-11 record disguises the enormous pitching advantage Pittsburgh possesses. He remains a world-class strikeout arm with 166 punchouts, while Jackson Jobe enters 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA. Pittsburgh gets the softer offensive assignment, while Skenes can single-handedly suppress Detroit. Back the Pirates to create separation and never relinquish it.

Money Line Pick

Value Pick

The Yankees offense hasn't been able to generate enough runs for me to trust them in this spot. While their strong pitching performances has helped them win back-to-back games, they got lucky against the Blue Jays. Bassitt should find success against a struggling Yankees team and Warren will give up too many runs for his team to come back from.

These are two of the higher scoring teams in the MLB. The Rockies average 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th best in the league, and the Dodgers are averaging 5.0 runs per game, good for 3rd best in the MLB.

The Angels will use RHP George Klassen (1-1, 5.52 ERA, 2.11 WHIP) against Astros RHP Cristian Javier (1-3, 6.68 ERA, 1.70 WHIP) in the series opener. Klassen showed some signs of life last time out, who turned in his first-career quality start, allowing just two runs and five hits in six innings in a win over the Texas Rangers, also his first. Javier has allowed seven runs (and three homers) in 11 IP across two August starts, losing both. We should get a high-scoring game down on the Gulf Coast.

These are two of the higher scoring teams in the MLB. The Rockies average 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th best in the league, and the Dodgers are averaging 5.0 runs per game, good for 3rd best in the MLB.

The Angels will use RHP George Klassen (1-1, 5.52 ERA, 2.11 WHIP) against Astros RHP Cristian Javier (1-3, 6.68 ERA, 1.70 WHIP) in the series opener. Klassen showed some signs of life last time out, who turned in his first-career quality start, allowing just two runs and five hits in six innings in a win over the Texas Rangers, also his first. Javier has allowed seven runs (and three homers) in 11 IP across two August starts, losing both. We should get a high-scoring game down on the Gulf Coast.

With Perkins coming off a disastrous season, uncertainty surrounding Lynch's workload, and two vulnerable bullpens waiting behind them, this matchup is well positioned to become another high scoring affair.

These are two of the higher scoring teams in the MLB. The Rockies average 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th best in the league, and the Dodgers are averaging 5.0 runs per game, good for 3rd best in the MLB.

The Angels will use RHP George Klassen (1-1, 5.52 ERA, 2.11 WHIP) against Astros RHP Cristian Javier (1-3, 6.68 ERA, 1.70 WHIP) in the series opener. Klassen showed some signs of life last time out, who turned in his first-career quality start, allowing just two runs and five hits in six innings in a win over the Texas Rangers, also his first. Javier has allowed seven runs (and three homers) in 11 IP across two August starts, losing both. We should get a high-scoring game down on the Gulf Coast.

With Perkins coming off a disastrous season, uncertainty surrounding Lynch's workload, and two vulnerable bullpens waiting behind them, this matchup is well positioned to become another high scoring affair.

Since being acquired by the Blue Jays, Soriano has made two starts and only given up two earned runs in 10.2 innings. Nick Martinez has been elite all year with a 12-3 record and 2.74 ERA in 138.0 innings.

San Francisco has dropped three of the past four games, and while winning just four times in the past 15 games. Facing the Giants might be a good spot for the Guardians to finally snap out of their funk, getting back on track, and re-engaged in the chase for the playoffs. Cleveland is still just a game out of the wild-card hunt, so it's time. Griffin should help the Guardians get on track, as the Giants are just 14-19 vs LHP, while the Guardians are 25-18 vs. LHP. Let's back Cleveland to wake up

The Phillies do have the edge in tonight's matchup with Wheeler on the mound, but I simply can't trust him based on the way he's preformed over his last few outings. The Marlins have shown they're more than capable of scoring runs, and given Wheeler's recent struggles, I think both teams will have plenty of opportunities to score tonight.

New York remains short-handed but has received meaningful boosts from Luis García Jr. and George Lombard Jr. Carlos Rodon returning is yet another one and he doesn't need to dominate; he simply needs to keep Baltimore within reach before turning things over to the Yankees' pitching depth. With greater offensive firepower across 9 innings, back the Bombers to win on the run line.

With Perkins coming off a disastrous season, uncertainty surrounding Lynch's workload, and two vulnerable bullpens waiting behind them, this matchup is well positioned to become another high scoring affair.

Since being acquired by the Blue Jays, Soriano has made two starts and only given up two earned runs in 10.2 innings. Nick Martinez has been elite all year with a 12-3 record and 2.74 ERA in 138.0 innings.

San Francisco has dropped three of the past four games, and while winning just four times in the past 15 games. Facing the Giants might be a good spot for the Guardians to finally snap out of their funk, getting back on track, and re-engaged in the chase for the playoffs. Cleveland is still just a game out of the wild-card hunt, so it's time. Griffin should help the Guardians get on track, as the Giants are just 14-19 vs LHP, while the Guardians are 25-18 vs. LHP. Let's back Cleveland to wake up

The Phillies do have the edge in tonight's matchup with Wheeler on the mound, but I simply can't trust him based on the way he's preformed over his last few outings. The Marlins have shown they're more than capable of scoring runs, and given Wheeler's recent struggles, I think both teams will have plenty of opportunities to score tonight.

Detroit's Keider Montero is holding opposing hitters to a measly .167 batting average on the road, and the Pittsburgh offense ranks 20th in MLB with a .674 OPS over their last 14 games. Pittsburgh's Braxton Ashcraft is having a great month of August, owning a 2.84 ERA through 3 starts this month. This is a solid pitching matchup in which runs could be at a premium.