Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Many of the Dodgers batters have solid numbers against Michael Wacha, so I expect them to put a few runs on the board while he is in the game. Blake Snell has not pitched since May 9 and I suspect there will be some rust for him to shake off.

Brandon Young and Bailey Ober are both capable of quality starts, and they each draw favorable matchups against lineups ranking within the bottom 5 of wOBA against righties in the last 30 days. Expect 9 or fewer runs scored in this matchup.

Since the all-star break, Philadelphia's Cristopher Sanchez has allowed just seven total earned runs on 21 hits through four starts and 22.1 innings. St. Louis' Andre Pallante has also been impressive, allowing just six earned runs on 17 hits through his last 24.0 innings and four starts. With that in mind, this could be a low-scoring affair.

By focusing on the first five innings, the wager avoids any late game bullpen variance and instead leans on Arizona's home field advantage, recent offensive momentum, and the favorable pitching matchup early in the contest. Expect the Diamondbacks to continue yesterday's momentum and take control before the game reaches the middle innings.

We have two starters who almost certainly won't work deep into the game, and both bullpens were heavily utilized in yesterday's extra inning contest. Short starts and tired bullpens usually means a lot of runs.

Since the All-Star break, Philadelphia's Cristopher Sanchez has allowed just 7 total earned runs on 21 hits through 4 starts and 22.1 innings. St. Louis' Andre Pallante has also been impressive, allowing just 6 earned runs on 17 hits through his last 24.0 innings and 4 starts. With that in mind, this could be a low-scoring affair.

Money Line Pick

Money Line Pick

Game Totals Pick

Nick Martinez has an 11-3 record with a 2.65 ERA in 129.0 innings. The Athletics give up the second-most runs in the MLB, averaging 5.7 runs allowed per game.

Since the All-Star break, Philadelphia's Cristopher Sanchez has allowed just 7 total earned runs on 21 hits through 4 starts and 22.1 innings. St. Louis' Andre Pallante has also been impressive, allowing just 6 earned runs on 17 hits through his last 24.0 innings and 4 starts. With that in mind, this could be a low-scoring affair.

While it may be hard to trust New York offensively, they've been the better team all season at the plate. Woo has a 6.71 ERA on the road this year, making it even more difficult to trust him in this spot. Give me the Yankees to get it done.

The Cubs have a significant advantage in both categories in tonight's matchup and Imanaga isn't afraid to pitch on the road this season, posting a 3.24 ERA. The Cubs are feeling it right now and they should be able to handle a spiraling Nationals team.

Dylan Cease is the foundation of this handicap. Toronto's ace carries a stellar 2.28 ERA with elite strikeout ability, giving the Blue Jays the weapon necessary to neutralize Boston's offense. With Toronto desperately chasing a Wild Card and playing at home, expect maximum urgency. Back the Jays by margin.

Paul Skenes hasn't replicated his Cy Young numbers, entering 9-10 with a 3.96 ERA, but his dominant ceiling remains intact. Eury Pérez lacks the same strikeout upside and game-changing ability. If Pittsburgh generates early run support, Skenes can suppress Miami long enough for the Pirates to create separation and cash the run line.

Tanner Bibee has been electric over his last 5 starts, fanning 10 guys in his last outing. He has also shut down the Tigers twice already this season. He will face a career bullpen guy forced into the rotation because of trades, and yet somehow the Guardians are still plus-money underdogs. Take the value.

Tarik Skubal pitched against the Royals back on June 24th as a member of the Tigers, and he pitched 7.1 innings, giving up only one run and struck out 12 batters. The Royals struggle to score runs, averaging only 4.1 runs per game.

Gabriel Hughes provides the Rockies starting rotation with a young and talented pitcher that contains upside moving forward. Mike Soroka returns from injury to boost an Arizona pitching staff looking to make a playoff push. I favor the under on the posted game total in Monday's matchup.

Tarik Skubal pitched against the Royals back on June 24th as a member of the Tigers, and he pitched 7.1 innings, giving up only one run and struck out 12 batters. The Royals struggle to score runs, averaging only 4.1 runs per game.

Gabriel Hughes provides the Rockies starting rotation with a young and talented pitcher that contains upside moving forward. Mike Soroka returns from injury to boost an Arizona pitching staff looking to make a playoff push. I favor the under on the posted game total in Monday's matchup.

Forget the Dean Kremer's revenge narrative. His 5.93 ERA, 5.89 FIP, and -0.3 WAR reveal a struggling starter. Trevor Rogers' 3.75 xERA, 3.48 FIP, and 2.6 WAR tell the opposite story. The starting-pitching discrepancy is enormous, making Baltimore on the run line worth the plunge.

The Red Sox are the significantly hotter team right now, and even though they lost their series against the A's, they'll be in a good spot with Sonny Gray on the mound. Taillon has struggled from the mound this season and Boston's offense should keep things rolling against him early in this game.

Forget the Dean Kremer's revenge narrative. His 5.93 ERA, 5.89 FIP, and -0.3 WAR reveal a struggling starter. Trevor Rogers' 3.75 xERA, 3.48 FIP, and 2.6 WAR tell the opposite story. The starting-pitching discrepancy is enormous, making Baltimore on the run line worth the plunge.