Monday, July 20, 2026

Best Bet

Best Bet

Moneyline - Seattle Mariners at -149

Game Totals First Five Over 6

Moneyline - Philadelphia Phillies at -133

Minnesota Twins Moneyline at -120

Jacob Misiorowski's 10-1 record, 1.62 ERA, and 167 strikeouts make him the foundation of this under. Freddy Peralta has extra motivation against his former club and is backed by one of baseball's best bullpens. Elite pitching potential on both sides points toward a low-scoring affair, making Under 7.5 runs, the value play.

Kauffman Stadium and San Francisco's inconsistent offense may point bettors toward the Under, but the pitching matchup tells a different story. Trevor McDonald and Michael Wacha both have vulnerabilities, while neither bullpen consistently shuts opponents down. With baserunners likely throughout the game, the Over offers value at reduced vig.

Cease has been a strikeout machine while Martinez realizes on creating weak contact and getting hitters out that way. It will be a great pitching matchup between two clubs that have struggled to generate runs, but I think Cease can work deeper into the ball game and put his team in a spot to win at home.

Jacob Misiorowski's 10-1 record, 1.62 ERA, and 167 strikeouts make him the foundation of this under. Freddy Peralta has extra motivation against his former club and is backed by one of baseball's best bullpens. Elite pitching potential on both sides points toward a low-scoring affair, making Under 7.5 runs, the value play.

Kauffman Stadium and San Francisco's inconsistent offense may point bettors toward the Under, but the pitching matchup tells a different story. Trevor McDonald and Michael Wacha both have vulnerabilities, while neither bullpen consistently shuts opponents down. With baserunners likely throughout the game, the Over offers value at reduced vig.

While not a game I am rushing to bet on I favor the Marlins at underdog pricing.