Saturday, July 4, 2026
8 picks from Saturday, July 4, 2026. Results included where graded.
- MLBwin
Pit @ Was
D Lile O 1.5 HomerunsWorth A Try 🤷‍♂️
by Alexcito+6500odds - MLB
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Game Totals Pick Under 7.5Ontani vs King is the best pitching matchup this series has to offer, and the best bullpen arms for the Padres have not thrown since Monday because the team keep gets blown out. We should see all the good arms tonight.
by Chad Hartsock+106odds - MLB
Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Game Totals Pick Over 8.5The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in baseball with a team OPS of .773 against lefties, and Milwaukee starting pitcher sees his ERA jump from 1.53 at home to 4.20 on the road. Arizona will send Jose Cabrera to the mound for his 3rd-ever big league start. His inexperience may hurt against Milwaukee's well-rounded lineup of veteran hitters.
by Connor Grootenhuis-104odds - MLB
Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros
Game Totals Pick Over 8Spencer Arrighetti has met the regression monster, seeing his ERA spike from 1.34 to 4.00 within the last month after allowing 25 earned runs in 25 innings pitched. Nick Martinez also struggled in June, posting a 5.14 ERA in 28 innings. His xERA is still nearly 2 full runs higher than his ERA so far.
by Javan Shouey+108odds - MLB
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies
Game Totals Pick Under 11Assuming Webb gets the nod, the Giants have a definitive pitching advantage in this matchup. Not to say Feltner hasn’t been solid with a 2-2 record and 4.42 ERA, but Webb has been absolutely outstanding of late.
by Sam Avellone-102odds - MLB
Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds
Game Totals Pick Over 11Once the game reaches the middle innings, both offenses should continue to create chances against the relievers. With 2 vulnerable starting pitchers, productive lineups, and enough offensive depth on both sides, this matchup has all the ingredients for another high scoring game.
by Justin Ziolkowski+120odds - MLB
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians
Game Totals Pick Over 8Kay’s current form is less than ideal, as he finished June with a 6.35 ERA across 5 starts. His road form this season is just as poor, as he carries a 6.40 ERA away from home. Opposite of him, Williams hasn’t been much better with a 6.04 June ERA.
by Sam Avellone-115odds - MLB
Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees
Game Totals Pick Over 9.5The Yankees lead baseball in home runs, while Minnesota has enough power to contribute throughout the lineup. The Twins also own the league's weakest bullpen, creating a perfect opportunity for New York to pile on late runs. With two explosive offenses, reaching 10 runs to cash is entirely realistic.
by Napier Montgomery+118odds